Sunday, 31 July 2011

NFL Betting Strategy - Finding Motivated Teams

There are many ways to bet on the NFL. One of the best ways I have found to profit from NFL betting is taking motivated underdogs against the spread. Assuming you are betting a spread situation that gives you a known historical edge to start with, you can really boost your win rate by focusing your handicapping energies on team and player motivation.

There are many things that can motivate a team that are overlooked. Was the last meeting lost because of a bad call? Is there a fan appreciation event going on? Can an underdog be a playoff spoiler for their rival? Your list can and should go on to include everything you can think of for both the home team and the visitors.

Make a chart out of them that you can easily print out and score every game giving the teams what I refer to as a Motivation Factor score. I have had great success using my own chart to find motivated underdogs with a situational edge because of the point spread, and for betting on games that do not show an advantage based on the spread.

All other things being equal, being able to consistently identify and bet on motivated teams is one of the BIG keys to success. It is a skill you should work to develop. Fortunately, that's as easy as making a chart and adding to it as motivational factors come to mind.

If you combine that skill with known situational advantages based on the point spread, you will win an awful lot of bets. Bets you may have been losing.




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Friday, 29 July 2011

The Sweeps - The Cheapest Football Plays in Youth Football

The Sweep the "Holy Grail" Of Youth Football Plays

While the sweep is a legitimate football play at all levels, it is a play I personally detest in Youth Football. Too many youth football games are decided by one player on a play that often requires little team work or real execution, the sweep play. It sickens me to see poorly coached teams running sweep play after sweep play for touchdowns, coaches fists raised up in the air in triumph for what? For the fact that by the skillful feat of geography their youth football team just happened to have one very fast player signed up for their particular team. Wow that takes a lot of coaching skill and team effort, congrats. The facts are, once these one trick pony sweep teams play a well coached team, they will struggle.

In the last 6 seasons of running the defense in my book, our first team defense has given up just one sweep play of over 20 yards. Our defense is designed to take away the sweep, yet many of these one trick wonder sweep teams still try and run the play, even after running numerous sweeps for losses. It is really a quite simple play to shut down with the right scheme and one simple technique by your defensive ends. We have shut down the sweep cold, even when we had teams with little or no speed and played inner-city teams with exceptional speed.

On offense, the sweep and sweep pass are in our playbook and we run it as a lead play with pulling lineman and in a bucksweep fashion, ala Wing-T style with a plunge into the line fake (or keep) by the fullback. While the sweep has been a very successful football play for us, I rarely run it on offense.

In 2002 we ran 2-3 sweeps the entire season, my tailback was extremely slow (and small), so slow he would get caught from behind on off-tackle plays. He was all we had on a very talent short "B" team that still went 11-1. This previous year mind you this team had an incredible Tailback running out of the "I" formation, one of the best running backs in the history of the Sreaming Eagle program, of over 2,500 kids. This team was the biggest and most talented "B" team we had ever fielded and "coach" ran lots and lots of sweeps. Of course they blew out the weak teams, but lost to all the descent teams and finished a very disappointing 3-5. All but 8 of the kids from this team moved up the next year and what was left over was a team that was the youngest and smallest team in the league that year. I took this team over to prove a point, that size, age and speed really didn't matter much. Hmmm 11-1 with a tailback that was slower than molasses and League Champs vs 3-5 with the best tailback our Org has ever seen, gee I wonder what the better approach was? To give you an idea of how wek this team really was, the following year in 2003 I coached the age 8-10 "A" team and just 2 of the kids from my 2002 team were good enough to be selected to play on this "A" squad. In 2002 we did run the bucksweep to our blocking back and scored 7 of the 8 times we ran it, due to the misdirection of the play and great perimeter execution, not the speed of our running back, (he was slow too).

In 2003 we did have one speedy running back that could get the corner, but we still ran the sweep just 25 times or so that season. If you see that season DVD, you see the sweep was there for the taking in many games and we knew it. I wanted our kids to work for our scores and for them to know we could run our base plays and score against any defense. I knew at seasons end this age 8-10 "Select" team was going to play the League Champions of an age 11-12 league in a huge Bowl Game and we would not be able to outrun them, so we prepared for the last game every week. My 2003 team went 11-0 and our first team offense scored on every possession of every single game we played that season, running very few sweeps.

In 2004 with an all rookie team that year, again with very little speed, we ran the sweep maybe 15 times in this season and went 11-0. In 2005 we had one tailback with some descent wheels, but we only ran about 25 sweeps in that 12-0 season. In 2006 with even very good speed saw us run the sweep just 30 times or so in an 11-1 season. With going no-huddle like we do and getting an average of 50+ snaps a game you can see how infrequently we use these sweep football plays.

The sweep out of the Single Wing Offense is a great play and offers great numbers advantages and angles, but my distaste for the play in conceptual terms means we do not run it even when it is obviously open. When we do run it, it is usually a very big play. By the time we finally do run it, the defense is usually pinching and it is a big gainer. We execute excellent seal blocks at the point of attack as well as require our pullers to get downfield with correct helmet placement. However, if we are playing a weak team and are dominating or obviously have more speed than the other team, you won't see the play very much from us. If we are ahead by a score or two you won't see the sweep at all from us. We gain little long term progress from taking the sweep in either scenario.

Last season the head of an organization that often has very fast players, but very marginal coaching told me at the end of the season "In youth football, it just comes down to that one fast kid". That is the epitome of what's wrong with youth football coaching and why I detest the sweep so much. I've never lost to this organization or even had a close game with them for that matter. Even when they have great teams with huge size and speed advantages they won't play us in extra games. Why? Because even with much smaller and slower players, we shut their offense down cold and it's frustrating and embarrassing for them to do so poorly against a physically inferior team.

Don't get beat by sweep plays and don't make it the base of your offense. It's like a 300 pound bully taking candy away from a 4 year old girl, it takes zero effort or skill. But when you try and take candy away from another 300 pound bully or even a 350 pound bully, and you depend on the sweep, you will get your brains beaten in. That's why you often see teams blow past all the teams in their league by big margins, but go off to an out of town playoff or Bowl game and get blown out. Why? Because eventually that sweep happy team will run into a team that has as much speed as the one trick pony player they have or has a scheme like ours that shuts down the sweep. Good teams beat good teams, a good player doesn't beat a good team or a well coached team in youth football. A good player only beats very weak or very poorly coached teams in youth football.




For more great youth football ideas and youth football plays, sign up for Dave's free football coaching tips newsletter, please click here: http://winningyouthfootball.com

Dave Cisar-With over 15 years of hands-on experience as a youth coach, Dave has developed a detailed systematic approach to developing youth players and teams that has enabled his personal teams to win 97% of their games in 5 Different Leagues.

Thursday, 28 July 2011

So You Want to Be an Investment Banker? They Pay You All That Money For a Reason

My history of unfulfilling occupations proves that if you work hard, apply yourself, get into good schools (after failing out of other ones) and catch a few breaks, you can get a dream job you will absolutely hate. When I was applying to business schools in 1999, I had no idea the array of career opportunities that would be available to me. I'm from the south; the most lucrative occupations I had ever been exposed to were pro athletes or the wealthy protagonists on TV programs such as doctors, lawyers, architects and taxi drivers.

I knew nothing about the world of finance. Sure, I'd been day trading internet stocks with limited (okay, extremely negative) results, but I had no idea what an "investment bank" was. I was, however, becoming a tad more aware of the somewhat dire financial straits I'd be facing after two years of high-powered MBA learning (the final tally was $108k in student loans). I was told at one of my business school interviews that I should consider investment banking, but that it was grueling work and that I should read a book called Monkey Business to get a sense for what really went on in the industry.

So I read Monkey Business; where most people were turned off by the bankers' horrible behavior, ridiculous hours and awful working conditions, I was staggered only by the tales of their first bonus checks. $175k bonus??? That sounded impossible, could that even be real?

Snippet of my internal monologue: I would happily pleasure donkeys 24/7 for a year for $250k. No problem. Who cares about the long hours, I worked the midnight shift every night on a submarine for Christ's sake!

So once I got into business school, I set off to be an investment banker, figuring (correctly) that this was the quickest way to eradicate my stacks and stacks of student loan obligations. How exactly did I get into banking? I will save details of that bizarre mating ritual for another time; the interview process is cruel and outlandish on its own merits.

What the heck is investment banking, anyway?

I worked in this field for six-plus years and I'm absolutely certain that no one in my family had any idea what i did for a living. In a family where personal bankruptcy was as frequent as the Summer Olympics, my newfound financial security was somewhat shocking to my relatives. I'm pretty sure many family members suspected that "investment banking" was code for "snake oil marketing" but it was definitely nice to be able to order freely from the Chili's menu with little regard for price.

Anyway, what is it? I've often described investment banking as "a bank for companies" - providing equity and debt underwriting, merger advice and other sundry services. But I noticed that most people started the glazing over/tuning out process at "equity," so that wasn't really working. Once, while in Europe, my boss (in banking parlance, a Managing Director, or MD) told me that he was having a similar conversation with an acquaintance and he'd told him his job was to "identify undervalued assets." I suppose there is a kernel of truth to that statement, but also an overwhelming amount of dignification with a hint of overstated importance/relevance.

I countered (somewhat cynically, but I hadn't slept in about 34 hours) that I felt a more accurate description of our job was "making rich guys richer." Capturing private/public valuation arbitrage, levering up, merging companies - invariably these transactions resulted in someone who was already impossibly wealthy getting at least a tad bit wealthier. Our job was to make sure we were in the mix with the important players in our sector, and that we would get a piece of the action on any deals that went down.

Hopefully that clears things up.

Description: I started my investment banking career as an "Associate" at a bank - let's call it TARP Bank I for anonymity's sake - after a wildly unsuccessful stint as a "Summer Associate" at another bank. You start out in banking as an Associate - almost the exact same thing as being a Junior Officer in the Navy. You don't know much, you depend on junior people ("Analysts" in this case, invariably focused, super-dedicated uber-nerds from Penn, Columbia or Duke) to teach you the ropes even as they hate your guts because you are technically senior to them, and the senior folks (MDS and VPS, in this case) see you as more a physical resource than a human being. (I have actually seen two MDs draw up a schedule for when they could have access to a particular associate for a one week period. They omitted a "sleep" category in this schedule. Seriously)

I managed to land this jet-setting investment banking job offer in the robust social/economic environment the month after 9/11. (I won't describe the humiliations suffered to earn the job.) Was TARP Bank I the best place to work on Wall Street? No, but it at least provided a quasi-professional environment to learn what the heck i was supposed to do. I had botched my summer gig so bad I didn't really know what was what - I had learned just enough lingo to get myself through the interview process.

As an Associate, you are responsible for checking the analyst's work on the quantitative metrics, working with the VP/MD on the strategic message and generally making sure the day-to-day tasks are being handled correctly. What tasks, you ask? In the absence of actual transactions, bankers spend their time imagining various scenarios in which their services could potentially benefit their clients - then they go pitch said ideas to their (largely disinterested) clients. In 2002-2003, investment banks were largely in this "pitch" mode - and to pitch someone you of course need a pitch book.

Pitch books are colorful, professionally produced documents which offer clients incredibly thoughtful and thorough evaluations of a variety of unlikely financial occurrences, such as the client being acquired, acquiring someone else or adding to/reducing its debt load (depending on the "liquidity" flavor of the day). By law, these books are required to include pages and pages of (unwanted) analyses, supported by informative (and unrequested) graphs and charts. Completing the analyses and preparing the colorful pitch documents (invariably of a length that would make Proust embarrassed by his brevity) generally takes around 1500 man-hours. (The bulk of the "men" in those man-hours is 2-3 unlucky junior souls)

As on a submarine, where a good deal of each day is spent pretending that a catastrophe has occurred, in banking you spend a preponderance of your time working on hypotheticals. What if Company X bought Company Y for $Z? What would the pro forma look like? Pro forma is finance talk for best case scenario. Like, pro forma for me being a better writer, this column would be shorter, have fewer parentheses and be less crappy. You can pro forma anything, just be unabashedly optimistic.

A pitchbook will also always include "qualifications" pages, which show why that bank is better than all its competitors at everything. To add legitimacy, these claims are always substantiated by "league tables" that show the ranks of all the banks across categories such as "U.S. Equity Issuance." Never in recorded history has a bank been lower than #2 in any league table chart that it provides, despite the fact that there are hundreds of such banks. Liberties are frequently undertaken with the "raw data" underlying the league tables. If NFL teams operated like investment banks, every team would have showed up to the 2007/8 playoffs claiming to be 16-0, lest they be proved less an "industry leader" than the Patriots.

I stayed at TARP I for almost 2 years before I moved to TARP II, a much more formidable competitor with a much less sweat-shop like environment (it was standard practice at TARP I for the "Staffer" to walk the floors late on Friday night; anyone who left before 10:00 PM was certain to get a new assignment for first thing Saturday morning). Thankfully, the market started shifting in 2004, moving away from pitching and more toward executing actual transactions. Deal execution is actually less stressful than the pitch process, you actually get to create (or in mergers, destroy) something, and there might even be a flicker of - gasp! - job satisfaction. Getting this execution experience ties together the myriad concepts that get thrown around in the pitching process, and one eventually starts to understand what the heck is going on.

My excellent execution work was rewarded with a promotion (either that, or three years had passed and I had a pulse). I was then a Vice President - I have business cards to this effect and everything - it sounds pretty powerful and prestigious. Unfortunately it doesn't mean much - you really just have an additional person working for you (the Associate) that you can blame when things start going awry. A VP is a bit more removed from the day-to-day fray and (supposedly) more integrated into the strategic thought process. In reality, you are more likely to be the unfortunate gimp lugging 60 pounds of pitchbooks to a meeting, doing final signoff on client documents at 2:30 AM or boozing with out-of-town clients until 4:00 AM.

Actually, to be balanced and fair, the client entertainment aspect was pretty solid. Given that at TARP II most every senior banker was a dedicated family man, a young (well, middle-aged) degenerate such as myself was considered an attractive asset when dealing with visiting yokels who wanted to stay out all night at the coolest (coolest that we could get into, that is) NYC clubs. That is the area where I really shined (as a bonus I was always greeted like a conquering hero when I rolled into the office at 3:30 PM the next day). Learning how to navigate the expense report channel was especially tricky, but I got $2k bills to Marquee through on more than one occasion (either that or my Associate is still probably paying down that credit card bill). My strong moral code prevented me from ever accompanying a client to a strip club. The moral code and the more than outside chance that one of those deviants would try and stick me with a $7k tab.

My Greatest Contribution to the Industry: Unlike most other occupations, bankers are insecure enough to require an actual physical trophy following the successful execution of a transaction (the trophy from the pitch process is lifelong back problems for whichever junior person had to carry the 150 pages of nonsense numbers to the client). The form of this trophy was the "deal toy" - a small lucite figurine that reflected something about the company that did the deal, with a "tombstone" inscription describing details of the deal and of course highlighting the investment banks that executed said landmark transaction. So if you did a deal for John Deere, there was a good chance that six months later you would find a small tractor with your banks name on it on your desk.

As mundane as this sounds, there are actually at least two companies that produce these deal toys - and they fight to the death to win the assignment to produce them for the banks. Every deal is its own bloody battle and the most junior investment bankers are the ones who ultimately decide which firm will produce the lucites (and they generally don't play fair; when I was at TARP I one of the sales reps for the deal toy company was a cross between Megan Fox and Brooklyn Decker - work in the 30 story building would literally come to a screeching halt when she stopped by). Both firms will generally send a mock-up of their vision of the lucite to someone on the banking team whenever they see a deal announced, hoping to win the assignment. They generally start with a version of the firm's logo with the deal terms inscribed on it.

My greatest contribution to the financial community will always be the deal toy mock-up sent to us following the completion of a bond offering for a tape company (marketing campaign - Tape: it's sticky on one side, not sticky on the other). Unfortunately, I cannot post the image here, but let's just say that the mock-up image provided of the company's logo looked like something out of a male anatomy textbook. It went pretty viral, to the point that it even made its way back to me. That will always be my legacy on Wall Street.




M. Atrois is a former investment banker living the bling bling unemployed life in NYC. Read more by M. at http://www.wastedpotentialz.com

Wednesday, 27 July 2011

Making a Running Back by Committee Work For Your Fantasy Football Team

This article will explore the newest twist for fantasy football owners - the running back by committee (RBBC). In the past, most NFL teams have had one feature back who received approximately 30 carries a game. The thinking was that a runner needed that many carries to establish a rhythm and run effectively. Today's game has changed. The RBBC situation is now so common almost all teams utilize it. The thinking is that the RBBC allows backs to stay fresh. In addition, the RBBC is often implemented with a bruising power back and a quick scat back runner; a combination intended to keep the opposing defense off balance by switching up running styles.

What does this mean for fantasy football? In past years, fantasy football was completely dominated by the running back position. A good RB was a lock to touch the ball multiple times a game as well as to score more TDs than every other position. With the RBBC, that is no longer true. So what is one to do? Is it best to draft the entire committee or spread your RBs around in hopes that you draft two high performers? Lets explore the options:

The Home Run Strategy - Draft the Best RBs Regardless of RBBC Scenario
PROS : If you do not have to deal with injuries great, you have an excellent shot to win your league. You will have the most valuable player in the RBBC from different teams.
CONS: While you may have come into the season with the best RB on two different teams, if one goes down to injury you can quickly find yourself in a tough situation.

The Anti-Wall Street Risk Adverse Strategy
PROS: Here you try to draft an entire team's committee. If one of the players gets hurt you instantly have a feature back.
CONS: If there is not an injury you are stuck with part time production from two players for the season.

The Ace Rothstein Strategy - The Educated Bettor
PROS: This strategy says you draft players who are second in the committee, but play alongside another player with a history of injury. Ideally you would be to try to get one feature back and pair him with a number of #2's who have a realistic chance to step in at some point in the season.
CONS: The risk here is that the #2, never becomes a #1.

Like investing, the strategy you choose to employ should be based on your level of comfort with risk. We recommend the Ace Rothstein theory, as the #2 that becomes a #1 is often the breakout story of the year come playoff time.
Having fully explored the RBBC situation there are still a few old school running backs who dominate carries and do not need to worry about having carries or even worse goal carries stolen.

non RBBC RBs
All-Day AP
Turner the Burner
MJD
Matt Forte
S.Jackson
C.Portis
K.Smith
R.Grant

The other 24 NFL teams use some form of the RBBC. To summarize, following the Ace Rothstein theory we would target one of the eight backs listed above, then go after a WR and QB and finally look to pair your RB with a number of second string RBBC backs who run alongside an injury risk.




For more fantasy football analysis check out BleacherCreatureRotoTalk.com
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Monday, 25 July 2011

Madden 11 Eagles Super bowl Celebration

Madden 11 Superbowl Celebration. I own no parts of this game. Microsooft,Doly Digital, and the written conscript of the National Football League own all parts to Madden 2011.

Sunday, 24 July 2011

Football Playoffs

Football Playoffs season is full of entertainment. This is the time in the year when things start getting hot on NFL football. Teams are training hard their strategy and people will start to get more relax and enthusiastic.

During football playoffs the betting activity also increases. Offshore Sportsbook start getting a rain of calls and with the great number of bets made sportsbooks gain some good profits. Football playoffs is a great time for football fans and betting companies. There are some factors that must be considered during football playoffs.

There are some basic trends that can help us when betting in football playoffs. Home teams are usually very strong straight up, winning at over 70 percent of the time. Against the spread they hold their own as well hitting at near 60 percent. Home teams that get the first round bye are also solid bets winning at over 62 percent of the time against the spread. Double-digit favorites are also a good bet in NFL football playoffs as they come in at over 65 percent of the time. Usually during the regular season it is a decent idea to bet against the public but that does not always hold true in NFL football playoffs since the favorites do pretty well against the spread. One trend that works well during the regular season and also holds true for football playoffs is that the winning team usually covers the spread. What this means to us is that if we like the underdog we should also seriously consider betting the money line as well.

These are some valuable tips you should remember when betting on the NFL football playoffs. First, insist on yourself on the possibilities of betting for the home team. Second, consider the possibilities of the favorite team winning. Third, if we like the underdog then playing them on the money line is usually a good bet as well. What about totals in the NFL football playoffs? Usually when the football playoffs roll around the defenses tighten up and games tend to be lower scoring. The Super Bowl is a notable exception to that rule, as the teams tend to score higher.

An important factor to watch out for in football playoffs is weather. Since these games are often played in cold weather cities during the winter, football playoffs can be greatly affected by it. Always remember to check the latest weather and take that into consideration when betting any total.

Injuries always seem to pile up as the season wears on and can be a factor in the football playoffs. Be sure and check on the latest injury reports before making your football playoff wager. Line movement is another area to check before you make your bet. I always want to be aware of any late line movement in a football playoffs game because very often it is correct.




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Saturday, 23 July 2011

AFC 2010 Playoffs Preview - Division Winners, Seeds 1 - 4

The AFC playoff picture is looking really interesting. While many would have anointed the Colts the favorite to win it a few weeks ago, there are a few reasons that shouldn't be the case.

These playoffs are pretty wide open in both conferences, and we're sure to see a few really exciting weeks of football during the games to come.

Let's take a look at the AFC playoff picture here. We'll examine each division winner that made it through, along with a quick analysis of their situation.

The #1 seed is the Indianapolis Colts. Having run out to a 14-0 start, they were clearly the strongest team in the AFC through and through. Losses in their last two weeks were somewhat deliberate since the team wanted to avoid injuries.

Still, it makes one wonder if the team may have been thrown off its rhythm and could come out showing signs of rust. The fact that many of their wins this season were close, come from behind wins, including one against New England, goes to show that the Colts can by no means be considered a lock.

Next in line are the San Diego Chargers, perhaps the hottest team in the NFL. Having won 11 straight games to close out the season, this team rebounded from a 2-3 record and ended up with one of the best records in the NFL. The Chargers have a great offense led by QB Philip Rivers, and could easily find their way to the Super Bowl this year.

Coming in at number three are the Cincinnati Bengals. With a great QB in Carson Palmer, great receiving talent in Chad Johnson, and an able running back in Cedric Benson, this team turned everything around this year and found their way to the post season. They'll meet the Jets in round 1, and they'll be hungry to avenge them for last week's loss.

The fourth seed is the AFC East champion New England Patriots. With Tom Brady back in tow, anything should be considered possible. They also played extremely dangerously against the Colts in Indianapolis and should have won that game, so they have every reason to believe they can win this game should they meet again.

Still, the Pats have looked a bit rustier than usual at times this season, losing some games they would have won in years past. Additionally, the injury of Wes Welker in week 17 and the loss of him throughout the playoffs will leave a gaping hole in their offense.




Alex Wilhelm will be blogging about art deco table lamps [http://bankerslamp.org/art-deco-table-lamps/] and the bankers lamp as he watches this year's playoff matchups.

Friday, 22 July 2011

Les plus belles célébrations au football !

You dont have to listen with headphones but if you listen with headphones it makes a difference in the beats, i timed every single beat in this video to blink so if you have good headphones it makes a difference and will make the video so much better! Hope you enjoy my video it took forever to make probably the longest i ever spent on making a video! Watch In HD and Use Headphones (HUGE DIFFERENCE) Please subscribe to me and friend me and comment and like this video thankss! :) Fc Barcelona vs Vfb Stuttgart 03/16/2010-16/03/2010 Inter Mailand vs Chelsea Champions League 03/16/2010 - 16/03/2010 Cristiano Ronaldo vs Real Valladolid Fc Barcelona vs Valencia 03/14/2010 Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid All Goals & Highlights 03/14/2010 Cristiano Ronaldo vs Olympique Lyon All Goals and Higlights 03/10/2010 Cristiano Ronaldo vs Sevilla Real Madrid 3:2 Sevilla All Goals Hd Highlights Lionel Messi vs Racing Santander Champions League 02/16/2010 - 02/17/2010 ALL GOALS AND HIGHLIGHTS Fc Bayern vs Florenz Ac Milan vs Manschester United Olympique Lyon vs Real Madrid Primera Division 13/02/2010 - 14/02/2010 Xerez vs Real Madrid 02/13/2010 0:3 Cristiano Ronaldo 2 Goals Gijon vs Barcelona All Goals and Highlights HD Real Madrid vs Malaga 5:0 Red Card Real Madrid vs Zaragoza 6:0 Real Madrid VS Barcelona 2009 *El Classico* Ibrahimovic Goal 1:0 Goal Cristiano Ronaldo Real Madrid Olympic Marseille Score Free Kick 08.12.09 Champions League 12/8/09 8/12/09 Juventus Turin vs Bayern 12/8/09 All ...

Wednesday, 20 July 2011

NFL Week 9 Point Spread Picks And Best Bets

SUNDAY AFTERNOON 1:00 PM ET

1. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3.5) VS. Arizona Cardinals: The Cardinals are a different team with Kurt Warner at QB and they have a potentially explosive offense that can put up points in bunches. Of course the key is to keep Warner upright which has been somewhat of a challenge this season but he is ready to go for this one. The Buc's are coming off a demoralizing loss at home against the Jaguars and will be looking to right the ship before the season begins to spiral out of control. To lose to a backup QB like Quinn Gray could have a lasting impact on their psyches however and they might play tight so as not to make the mistakes they did last week which destroyed their chances. The Buc's simply can't score enough to justify giving 3.5 to anyone. Throw in the fact the better-than-average Cardinal offense is getting a head start makes them that much of a better play. The Pick: Arizona Cardinals (-3.5)

2. ATLANTA FALCONS (-3.5) VS. San Francisco 49ers: In a battle of two terrible offensive teams, the extra half point tilts this one in the 49ers' advantage. San Francisco qualifies in a very positive 81-54-1 ATS game scenario that plays on teams that have been especially bad on offense in recent weeks. Basically the belief is that the 'Niners have hit rock bottom on offense and that they will be able to get back on track against a poor Falcons defense. The 49ers have a big advantage in the run game with Frank Gore and the passing attack should get itself going with QB Alex Smith getting more comfortable after coming back from injury. The ATS trend and the player personnel both favor the 49ers and it wouldn't be a surprise if they even won here. THE PICK: 49ers (+3.5)

3. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3.5) VS. Jacksonville Jaguars: ********THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

4. TENNESSEE TITANS (-4.5) VS. Carolina Panthers: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.

5. Cincinnati Bengals (-.5) VS. BUFFALO BILLS: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.

6. Washington Redskins (-3.5) VS. NEW YORK JETS: The Jets will turn to Kellen Clemens this week in the hopes of sparking the team. That certainly could do the trick for the Jets here but it also could go the other way as this might signal that the white flag has been raised and that the team is playing for next year. A major letdown could then be at hand and things could get ugly against a still motivated, hard-hitting Redskins squad. Surely the 'Skins went back to the drawing board after last week's embarrassment against the Patriots but the fact of the matter is that this team still can't score. The Jets could have trouble scoring also as star WR Laverneaous Coles is likely to miss this game with a concussion. Either way this game has too many question marks to touch. THE PICK: PASS

7. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-2.5) VS. Green Bay Packers: The Packers are in a bad spot here as they are coming off a short week after playing a draining game in Denver on MNF. Green Bay won that game in OT and now they have to go out on the road again to take on the Chiefs in Arrowhead. Kansas City has played much better than anyone could have expected as they have won three in a row and are a strong factor in the AFC West race. The Packers have gone only 1-7 in their last eight in Kansas City and they should have trouble getting up for a second straight road game in a very hostile environment. THE PICK: Kansas City Chiefs (-2)

8. San Diego Chargers (-7.5) VS. Minnesota Vikings: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.

9. DETROIT LIONS (-3.5) VS. Denver Broncos: The Lions are actually in the playoff hunt this season and their only worry in the weak NFC North right now are the Packers. The Lions are fresh off a road win over the Bears where the defense stepped up and intercepted QB Brian Griese four times. The Broncos on the other hand come off a terrible loss at home on MNF against the Packers in a game they should have won. Awful clock management and play calling by coach Mike Shannahan did them in and so they now must try and save their season on the road. The Broncos match up well with the Lions in that their great secondary led by Pro Bowl CB Champ Bailey should limit the effectiveness o the Detroit passing attack. This game will be won by running the football which both teams do rather evenly. There are scenarios that favor both sides in this game and there is much too uncertainty to make this a worthwhile pick. THE PICK: PASS

SUNDAY AFTERNOON 4:00 PM ET

10. CLEVELAND BROWNS (-1.5) VS. Seattle Seahawks: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.
11. New England Patriots (-4.5) VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: *******THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

12. OAKLAND RAIDERS (-2.5) VS. Houston Texans: **************THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

SUNDAY NIGHT 8:30 PM ET

13. Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: ******THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

MONDAY NIGHT 8:30 PM ET

14. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-9.5) VS. Baltimore Ravens: ******THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK. CLICK ON THE LINK ABOVE TO PURCHASE.




Cofounder of http://www.yourwinningpicks.com/ in our tenth year of supplying sports handicapping and fantasy sports information.

Monday, 18 July 2011

NFL Point Spread Early Analysis

NFL week 4 lines are out and this is the week of the home underdogs. The reason we make note of this is that one of our time-tested winning formulas concerns betting on home underdogs in the correct circumstance. Home underdogs have covered at almost a 60 percent clip over the last 10 years and there are a great deal of games this week that fit this scenario. We see a number of these games where the home underdog will cover. We have given you our first impressions of these game below and later in the week we will finalize our picks for our subscribers.

Ravens (-4.5) VS. BROWNS: Cleveland is a homedog which they also were in week 2 when they covered and won against the Bengals. The Ravens failed to cover after being up big Sunday against Arizona but their defense is the type that gives young QB's like Anderson trouble.

Bears (-3) VS. LIONS: Why the Bears are favored here is the questions as this team has some major flaws that they must deal with, particularly the ineffectiveness of QB Rex Grossman. The Lions were destroyed last week against Philly and that's the type of loss that can shake a team's confidence. Home underdog scenario is at work here.

COWBOYS (-11) VS. Rams: There is no team other than the Saints that have been the NFL's bigggest dissapointment as the Rams have shown no life this season and now will lose RB Steven Jackson for this one with injury. 11 is a lot of points and it is possible the Cowboys could let down here after such a big win last Sunday on the road against the Bears.

Packers (-2) VS. VIKINGS: Fishy game here as the Vikings should be about a 7 point underdog against the 3-0 Packers. This game reminds us of the Browns-Bengals game in week 2. The Packers however are so hot that they should be able to handle them here. Another home underdog here.

Texans (-3) VS. FALCONS: Yet another home underdog scenario here as the Falcons played well last week under the same setup but failed to cover against Carolina. The Texans pushed as a home dog last week against the Colts in a wild line as some covered with Indy as they started at -5.5(we won with that number picking the Colts), while some pushed with the -6, and some even won with Houston as the line hit -6.5 Sunday morning.

COLTS (-9.5) VS. Broncos: Good one here as the Colts take on the Broncos. Denver was shocked by Jacksonville at home last week and things could turn sour quick with another loss. Expect a better performance by them in this game. The Colts on the other hand have destroyed Denver over the years, which include two playoff wins.

DOLPHINS (-3.5) VS. Raiders: Two bad teams meet in Miami with the dreaded 3.5 spread.

Jets (-3.5) VS. BILLS: The Bills will go with backup QB Trent Edwards as JP Losman will miss a few weeks with injury. The Jets did well at home in beating Miami last week and things could be turning around after a tough beginning to their season.

Eagles (-3) VS. GIANTS: Giants are home underdogs in primetime against an Eagles team that put up a ridiculous offensive showing last week.

Steelers (-5.5) VS. CARDINALS: The Steelers are 3-0 ATS so far this year and they go to the dessert to take on a Cardinals team that most likely will go with backup QB Kurt Warner which could give them a boost.

CHARGERS (-12) VS. Chiefs: The Chargers are playing poorly as they are now 1-2 after a tough loss on the road against Green Bay. The Chiefs got on the board last week against the Vikings but this team can't score at all. Both RB's in this one (LT and L. Johnson) have struggled.

Seahawks (-1.5) VS. 49ERS: 49ers are the home underdog here as they take on a Seahawks team that comes off an impressive in over the Bengals. 49ers RB Frank Gore ran wild on Seattle in both games last year.

Patriots (-7) VS. BENGALS: Yet another home underdog and this one is on MNF as the Bengals take on the Patriots.




Cofounder of http://www.yourwinningpicks.com/ in our tenth year of supplying sports handicapping and fantasy sports information.

Sunday, 17 July 2011

Arizona Cardinals Preview 2006

For years the Arizona Cardinals have been good for one thing--taking up space. Their best season came back in 2001 when they won seven games. Last season they were a paltry 5-11. Could this season really be any different? Since the Cardinals had money to spend this off-season, they went out and picked up running back Edgerrin James. Will this move be enough to propel the hapless Arizona Cardinals into a possible playoff scenario?

Quarterback

It's hard to believe that Kurt Warner is still around. He had some great years, but he's highly injury prone. When Warner is healthy and on his game he can toss 300 yard games with the best of them. Unfortunately, that doesn't happen very often. If Warner goes down, the Arizona Cardinals have no viable replacement. It's really going to come down to the offense line protecting their quarterback. Perhaps the addition of a superstar running back will help some.

Running Back

Anyone that's been watching the NFL for a least one year knows the name Edgerrin James. He's a former cog in the wheel of the Indianapolis Colts high-powered offense. Now he comes to the desert hoping to revive a struggling offense. The Cardinals had been lacking a good rushing attack. Now that James is in camp, that problem looks to be solved. Practically overnight the Arizona Cardinals go from having a nonexistent running game to being one of the best in the NFC.

Receivers

There's little to argue about when it comes to the receiving unit for the Arizona Cardinals. First, you have Larry Fitzgerald who's a big-play receiver. He made the Pro Bowl last season, and he should play very well again. Next, there's Anquan Boldin. While he's not going to burn cornerbacks down the field, he's a solid possession receiver. Finally, there's Leonard Pope. He's a rookie out of Georgia who's fast and athletic. He could be the next good tight end in the NFL. All of these guys have one thing in common--they're young.

Defense and Special Teams

The defense of the Arizona Cardinals is lacking. It's a mix of aging veterans, inexperienced starters and injury prone players. The defensive unit really needs the offense to step it up, because they're not going to stop anyone. The secondary of the Arizona Cardinals is pretty bad and the team didn't draft anyone to help fill the gaps. The Cardinals have a pretty decent special teams unit, which is anchored by a Pro Bowl kicker Neil Rackers and former Pro Bowl punter Scott player. During the preseason, the Arizona Cardinals will be looking for a solid return man.

2006 Prediction

While Arizona Cardinals fans are extremely optimistic thanks partly to the addition of Edgerrin James, they should temper their hope a bit. It's been quite a while since the Arizona Cardinals have won over seven games and this doesn't seem to be the year they will do it. Their schedule is fairly meaty with a healthy dose of better teams. If the Cardinals can beat the weaker teams, like San Francisco, Oakland and Detroit, they might get to six or seven wins this season. In the end, it should be another losing season.




Don't make another football bet until you watch this football betting tips video right now. Direct from Las Vegas. Watch it!

Saturday, 16 July 2011

[12-20-10] Monta Ellis 44 Pts 7 Asts VS Rockets

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Friday, 15 July 2011

December 19th,2010 Philadelphia Eagles Upset Giants For The

In The Philadelphia Eagles 2010 Season They Pull Off A Huge Upset Too Beat The New York Giants In Week 14 While Being Down 3 Touchdowns Too Become 10-4 For The Season There Are Only 2 More Games Left & Eagles Are The First Seed In The 2010 Playoffs In The Eastern Conference Division Deshawn Jackson Gets Punt Return Kick Too Win It I Am A Die Hard Philadelphia Eagles Fan & In My Eyes This Goes Down As The Greatest Come Bac Win I Have Ever Lived Too Witness Go Eagles Bring Home The 2010 Superbowl Trophy!!!

Saturday, 9 July 2011

Sanchez Wipes Booger on Brunell

Sanchez was picking his nose and wiped a booger on his fellow player during the first quarter of the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets game on January 23, 2010. Sorry for the sucky quality, I recorded it from my phone.

Saturday, 2 July 2011

|| David Stern Talks About Gilbert Arenas Suspension ||

David Stern On Gilbert's Suspension

Friday, 1 July 2011

2004 AFC Divisional Playoff Intro Patriots vs Colts

Preview of Patriots Vs Colts as Peyton takes on the red hot Patriots in a playoff matchup