NFL Week 9 Point Spread Picks And Best Bets

SUNDAY AFTERNOON 1:00 PM ET

1. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3.5) VS. Arizona Cardinals: The Cardinals are a different team with Kurt Warner at QB and they have a potentially explosive offense that can put up points in bunches. Of course the key is to keep Warner upright which has been somewhat of a challenge this season but he is ready to go for this one. The Buc's are coming off a demoralizing loss at home against the Jaguars and will be looking to right the ship before the season begins to spiral out of control. To lose to a backup QB like Quinn Gray could have a lasting impact on their psyches however and they might play tight so as not to make the mistakes they did last week which destroyed their chances. The Buc's simply can't score enough to justify giving 3.5 to anyone. Throw in the fact the better-than-average Cardinal offense is getting a head start makes them that much of a better play. The Pick: Arizona Cardinals (-3.5)

2. ATLANTA FALCONS (-3.5) VS. San Francisco 49ers: In a battle of two terrible offensive teams, the extra half point tilts this one in the 49ers' advantage. San Francisco qualifies in a very positive 81-54-1 ATS game scenario that plays on teams that have been especially bad on offense in recent weeks. Basically the belief is that the 'Niners have hit rock bottom on offense and that they will be able to get back on track against a poor Falcons defense. The 49ers have a big advantage in the run game with Frank Gore and the passing attack should get itself going with QB Alex Smith getting more comfortable after coming back from injury. The ATS trend and the player personnel both favor the 49ers and it wouldn't be a surprise if they even won here. THE PICK: 49ers (+3.5)

3. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3.5) VS. Jacksonville Jaguars: ********THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

4. TENNESSEE TITANS (-4.5) VS. Carolina Panthers: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.

5. Cincinnati Bengals (-.5) VS. BUFFALO BILLS: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.

6. Washington Redskins (-3.5) VS. NEW YORK JETS: The Jets will turn to Kellen Clemens this week in the hopes of sparking the team. That certainly could do the trick for the Jets here but it also could go the other way as this might signal that the white flag has been raised and that the team is playing for next year. A major letdown could then be at hand and things could get ugly against a still motivated, hard-hitting Redskins squad. Surely the 'Skins went back to the drawing board after last week's embarrassment against the Patriots but the fact of the matter is that this team still can't score. The Jets could have trouble scoring also as star WR Laverneaous Coles is likely to miss this game with a concussion. Either way this game has too many question marks to touch. THE PICK: PASS

7. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-2.5) VS. Green Bay Packers: The Packers are in a bad spot here as they are coming off a short week after playing a draining game in Denver on MNF. Green Bay won that game in OT and now they have to go out on the road again to take on the Chiefs in Arrowhead. Kansas City has played much better than anyone could have expected as they have won three in a row and are a strong factor in the AFC West race. The Packers have gone only 1-7 in their last eight in Kansas City and they should have trouble getting up for a second straight road game in a very hostile environment. THE PICK: Kansas City Chiefs (-2)

8. San Diego Chargers (-7.5) VS. Minnesota Vikings: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.

9. DETROIT LIONS (-3.5) VS. Denver Broncos: The Lions are actually in the playoff hunt this season and their only worry in the weak NFC North right now are the Packers. The Lions are fresh off a road win over the Bears where the defense stepped up and intercepted QB Brian Griese four times. The Broncos on the other hand come off a terrible loss at home on MNF against the Packers in a game they should have won. Awful clock management and play calling by coach Mike Shannahan did them in and so they now must try and save their season on the road. The Broncos match up well with the Lions in that their great secondary led by Pro Bowl CB Champ Bailey should limit the effectiveness o the Detroit passing attack. This game will be won by running the football which both teams do rather evenly. There are scenarios that favor both sides in this game and there is much too uncertainty to make this a worthwhile pick. THE PICK: PASS

SUNDAY AFTERNOON 4:00 PM ET

10. CLEVELAND BROWNS (-1.5) VS. Seattle Seahawks: WE HAVE A STRONG OPINION ON THIS GAME.
11. New England Patriots (-4.5) VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: *******THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

12. OAKLAND RAIDERS (-2.5) VS. Houston Texans: **************THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

SUNDAY NIGHT 8:30 PM ET

13. Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: ******THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK.

MONDAY NIGHT 8:30 PM ET

14. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-9.5) VS. Baltimore Ravens: ******THIS GAME IS ONE OF OUR BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK. CLICK ON THE LINK ABOVE TO PURCHASE.

Cofounder of http://www.yourwinningpicks.com/ in our tenth year of supplying sports handicapping and fantasy sports information.

NFL Point Spread Early Analysis

NFL week 4 lines are out and this is the week of the home underdogs. The reason we make note of this is that one of our time-tested winning formulas concerns betting on home underdogs in the correct circumstance. Home underdogs have covered at almost a 60 percent clip over the last 10 years and there are a great deal of games this week that fit this scenario. We see a number of these games where the home underdog will cover. We have given you our first impressions of these game below and later in the week we will finalize our picks for our subscribers.

Ravens (-4.5) VS. BROWNS: Cleveland is a homedog which they also were in week 2 when they covered and won against the Bengals. The Ravens failed to cover after being up big Sunday against Arizona but their defense is the type that gives young QB's like Anderson trouble.

Bears (-3) VS. LIONS: Why the Bears are favored here is the questions as this team has some major flaws that they must deal with, particularly the ineffectiveness of QB Rex Grossman. The Lions were destroyed last week against Philly and that's the type of loss that can shake a team's confidence. Home underdog scenario is at work here.

COWBOYS (-11) VS. Rams: There is no team other than the Saints that have been the NFL's bigggest dissapointment as the Rams have shown no life this season and now will lose RB Steven Jackson for this one with injury. 11 is a lot of points and it is possible the Cowboys could let down here after such a big win last Sunday on the road against the Bears.

Packers (-2) VS. VIKINGS: Fishy game here as the Vikings should be about a 7 point underdog against the 3-0 Packers. This game reminds us of the Browns-Bengals game in week 2. The Packers however are so hot that they should be able to handle them here. Another home underdog here.

Texans (-3) VS. FALCONS: Yet another home underdog scenario here as the Falcons played well last week under the same setup but failed to cover against Carolina. The Texans pushed as a home dog last week against the Colts in a wild line as some covered with Indy as they started at -5.5(we won with that number picking the Colts), while some pushed with the -6, and some even won with Houston as the line hit -6.5 Sunday morning.

COLTS (-9.5) VS. Broncos: Good one here as the Colts take on the Broncos. Denver was shocked by Jacksonville at home last week and things could turn sour quick with another loss. Expect a better performance by them in this game. The Colts on the other hand have destroyed Denver over the years, which include two playoff wins.

DOLPHINS (-3.5) VS. Raiders: Two bad teams meet in Miami with the dreaded 3.5 spread.

Jets (-3.5) VS. BILLS: The Bills will go with backup QB Trent Edwards as JP Losman will miss a few weeks with injury. The Jets did well at home in beating Miami last week and things could be turning around after a tough beginning to their season.

Eagles (-3) VS. GIANTS: Giants are home underdogs in primetime against an Eagles team that put up a ridiculous offensive showing last week.

Steelers (-5.5) VS. CARDINALS: The Steelers are 3-0 ATS so far this year and they go to the dessert to take on a Cardinals team that most likely will go with backup QB Kurt Warner which could give them a boost.

CHARGERS (-12) VS. Chiefs: The Chargers are playing poorly as they are now 1-2 after a tough loss on the road against Green Bay. The Chiefs got on the board last week against the Vikings but this team can't score at all. Both RB's in this one (LT and L. Johnson) have struggled.

Seahawks (-1.5) VS. 49ERS: 49ers are the home underdog here as they take on a Seahawks team that comes off an impressive in over the Bengals. 49ers RB Frank Gore ran wild on Seattle in both games last year.

Patriots (-7) VS. BENGALS: Yet another home underdog and this one is on MNF as the Bengals take on the Patriots.

Cofounder of http://www.yourwinningpicks.com/ in our tenth year of supplying sports handicapping and fantasy sports information.

NFL Week 5 Handicapping Point Spread First Look

NFL week 4 was the week of the home underdogs which is one of our dozens of winning trends that we preach to our subscribers and readers as far as winning handicapping formulas. In all there were 9 home underdogs last week and 5 of them covered. Home underdogs have covered at a nearly 60 percent clip since 2000 and the trick to is to identify which ones have the best chance to cover. We successfully picked 6 of the 9 correctly and if Alex Smith doesn't get hurt on the first play of the game, you can bet the 49ers would have been much more competitive against the Seahawks. Now we go on to Week 5 and below is our first impression of the betting lines of the week with our picks to come later in the week.

Arizona Cardinals (-3) VS. ST. LOUIS RAMS: Home underdog alert here but the Rams are an absolute mess. They are desperate however and this game looks like th Bills scenario last week against the Jets when they covered and won. The Cardinals are playing well however but they could letdown here on the road after a huge win against the Steelers on Sunday.

Baltimore Ravens (-3) VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Another home underdog here as the 49ers start the awful Trent Dilfer. The Ravens lost last week as a road favorite against the Browns and back-to-back road games are always a betting negative.

DENVER BRONCOS (-1.5) VS. San Diego Chargers: Tough one here as both teams come in off a loss. Broncos very inconsistent and the Chargers are seriously doubting themselves.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-3) VS. Chicago Bears: The Packers survived a very negative scenario last week in Minnesota and now look to go 5-0 at home against the Bears. Chicago is a mess right now and they are very desperate. Could be desperate enough to steal one here.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-5.5) VS. Dolphins: Texans are hurting without WR Andre Johnson and the Dolphins are just terrible after being run over by the Raiders. 5.5 is a lot of points but the Dolphins can't score.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-10) VS. Tampa Bay Bay Buccaneers: Interesting game here as the surprising Buc's go into Indy to face the 4-0 Colts. Indy looks like a machine once again and they have played nearly perfect football. They can be prone to letdown's at home if they are giving 10 or more as they are here but the Buc's might be hurting with the loss of Cadillac Williams.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-2) VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: The Chiefs shocked the Chargers last week and this team always plays tough. Jaguars won in Denver and then come in off a bye. Winning two in a row on the road is always tough but the Chiefs could letdown here. This is also another home underdog game to look at.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-16) VS. Cleveland Browns: The Pats are a perfect 4-0 ATS and theye look unstoppable. This line is not too high in that they covered the same number against the Bills two weeks ago. The Browns are playing better but they struggle on the road.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3) VS. Carolina Panthers: Its now or never for the Saints as they come off a bye and a loss at home the week before. Losing two in a row with such a talented team is rare but the Panthers might get Jake Delhomme back which would aid their chances in this game.

NY GIANTS (-3.5) VS. NY Jets: Desperation angle at work here for the Jets as they must win to stay in the playoff hierarchy. The Giants are very confident after their huge win against the Eagles however and they are playing their best ball in quite awhile.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-6) VS. Seattle Seahawks: Steelers are in rebound mode after losing in Arizona last week. Seattle is hot right now and they are very confident after beating the 49ers into submission on Sunday.

TENNESSEE TITANS (-9) VS. Atlanta Falcons: The Titans have covered nine straight games and they go home to face a weak Falcons squad. This spread is high though since Tennessee is not a high-scoring team. Also the Falcons are playing better.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-3.5) VS. Detroit Lions: Tough one to call as both teams have issues. Lions can't stop anyone but they can score at will. The Redskins can't score but they play tough defense.

Dallas Cowboys (-10) VS. BUFFALO BILLS: Home underdog scenario which is what the Bills were in as they covered and won last week against the Jets. The Cowboys keep rolling along and their offense looks unstoppable.

Cofounder of http://www.yourwinningpicks.com/ in our tenth year of supplying sports handicapping and fantasy sports information.