Thursday, 29 September 2011
Monday, 26 September 2011
BCS Controversy - A Debate Between AQ's and Non-AQ's
The BCS has caused controversy through the sports nation, and with good reason. Two sides have pleaded their case, the automatic qualifiers vs. the non-automatic qualifiers, and proper attention has yet to be applied to the situation. The six BCS conferences continue to hold firm to their automatic bowl selections, while the likes of Boise State, TCU, Utah, BYU, and other top tier non-AQ's attempt to claw their way into the big bowls. Sometimes they've made it, sometimes they haven't. These teams have been required to produce unblemished records, and sometimes that hasn't even been enough. However, should these non-AQ teams have the chance to compete for a national championship, or are they simply inferior teams? Let's look at some key seasons to see if these questions can be answered justifiably.
Season #1 - In 2001, the Brigham Young Cougars entered into their last regular season game with a perfect record. Their next opponent was a hungry Hawaii team, always pumped to beat their old conference team. The Fiesta Bowl had been scouting the Cougars as potential material for their bowl game. This would have been the first time a non-AQ had broken the BCS bubble, yet, it was not to be. Before the BYU vs. Hawaii game had even started, it was announced that BYU would not be accepted to the Fiesta Bowl. BYU was thereafter crushed by the Rainbow Warriors so badly that no one questioned the Fiesta Bowl committee's decision, and maybe rightfully so. However, it is important to note that Luke Staley, BYU's main offensive weapon and that year's Doak Walker award winner had broken his ankle, taking him out of the last two final games of the year. Had Luke Staley remained uninjured, it is possible that BYU would have remained undefeated.
Conclusion: Non-AQ teams have been flirting the BCS bowl games since 2001. BYU may have even been improperly denied their rightful chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, and considering they were rejected before ever having lost a game simply shows the BCS simply didn't respect their victories. They however had no marquee wins.
Season #2 - In 2004, Urban Meyer led the Utah Utes to a perfect season with Alex Smith at the helm. They beat Texas A&M, Arizona, and Pittsburgh, all of which were members of BCS conferences. Texas A&M would end up winning seven games, beating three ranked opponents on the way. Arizona only won three games but were little challenge for the Utes anyway. Pittsburgh was an eight win team beating the likes of Notre Dame and West Virginia before being humiliated by the Utes 35-7 in the Fiesta Bowl. Come NFL draft time, Alex Smith was the number one pick and Urban Meyer would pack up and head to coach the Florida Gators.
Conclusion: This was the first time a non-AQ team cracked into the BCS picture. However, the Utes were still shunned by being pitted against a Pittsburgh team that was obviously inferior. It was a step in the right direction though, and started to awaken the nation's eyes about the BCS system. Other points worthy of mention is that great coaches and players can indeed be products of non-AQ conferences. Urban Meyer is thought by many to be the best college football coach currently coaching in the entire nation. Alex Smith is also slowly making his mark in the NFL.
Season #3 - Boise State cruised its way to a perfect season in 2006, though it's only BCS victory came against an Oregon State team. However, that Oregon State team won ten games, including a bowl victory against Missouri, and the Beavers were also hammered by the Broncos 42-14. Boise State was then pitted against the mighty Oklahoma Sooners in what was supposed to be a slaughter. But the Broncos stuck with the Sooners the entire contest, and what has been deemed one of the greatest football games of all-time had the underdogs winning 43-42. David had slain Goliath, and the Non-AQ's were 2-0 in BCS bowl games.
Conclusion: Utah's perfect performance was quickly duplicated only two years later by the Broncos. Boise State showed the nation that it would not be a rare occurrence for Non-AQ teams to pitch perfect seasons. They also showed that with the proper preparation, Non-AQ teams can play with the big boys on the big stage.
Season #4 - The Hawaii Warriors fought their way into a BCS bowl game in 2007. Their marquee win was ironically from a non-AQ team, Boise State. They were pitted against a high-octane Georgia team in the Sugar Bowl and were annihilated 42-10.
Conclusion: This was originally thought to be a huge setback for the non-AQ teams. The Warriors were utterly humiliated and the questions arose once more whether or not these non-BCS teams were worthy to play in the big bowls. Non-AQ's dropped to being 2-1 in BCS bowl games.
Season #5 - The setback wouldn't last, as Utah produced another perfect season in 2008, beating the likes of Michigan, Oregon State, #12 TCU, and #14 BYU. Utah was ranked so high they were assured a bid to the Sugar Bowl. However, they were challenged by a very capable and talented Alabama team. The nation was braced for an easy game for the #4 Crimson Tide. But as per usual, the predictions were of little value, and Utah brushed Alabama aside with surprising ease. The final score, 31-17, was actually deceptive as the Utes creamed Alabama both on the offensive and defensive side of the football. Utah ended the season ranked #2 in the nation.
Conclusion: This was the 3rd season straight that non-AQ teams landed a BCS Bowl game. Utah rose questions as to whether a non-AQ team truly can be the best team in the nation as they received 16 first place votes in the AP poll. Non-AQ's now stood at 3-1 against their BCS foes.
Season #6 - In 2010, Boise State and the Mountain Western Conference made a big splash. BYU opened up their season beating #3 ranked Oklahoma, Boise State crushed a very powerful Oregon team, and TCU's defense smothered every offense that confronted them. Utah also played quite well, only losing a close battle to Oregon followed by defeats to TCU and BYU. At the end of the season, TCU, BYU, Boise State, and Utah were all ranked in the top 25. Both TCU and Boise State scored BCS bowl games. The problem was, however, that they were pitted against each other. The BCS, most likely scared their system would once again be exposed as heavily flawed, found a solution by ensuring that neither TCU or Boise State had a chance of beating one of the BCS powerhouses. Boise State won in a close contest.
Conclusion: The BCS is now frightened of the powerful non-AQ teams. Imagine the scenario had TCU beat Florida and Boise State beat Cincinatti. There would had been such an uproar that the BCS would have had no choice but to make some serious changes to their system. Easier to not give the non-AQ's the chance to prove themselves at all.
There you have it. The overall record for the non-AQ's vs. the AQ's in BCS bowl games is 3-1. The non-AQ's continue to question the legitimacy of the current college football system. The Mountain Western Conference has shown itself to be mightier than some of the BCS conferences, with win after win against BCS opponents. Why are non-AQ's continually spurned the chance to prove themselves as the #1 team in the nation?
The non-AQ's received the largest sum of money they've ever received from the BCS after the 2009-2010 season, at a total of 24 million dollars. Four of the BCS conferences received 17.7 million dollars...each. The other two? Even more, at 22.2 million dollars each. That means that eleven conferences are getting roughly the same amount as one BCS conference. Texas Republican Joe Barton probably said it best when he said, "What is the BCS theoretically about? I thought it was about the best teams playing the best teams. This simply acknowledges the reality that's it's not about that, but about revenue sharing. It's an economic cartel." The BCS is obviously not for college players' benefits, but for the benefits of a few selective organizations. It's time the walls came down, and that all schools, no matter what conference, should be given a chance to be #1.
The author is currently a college student a Brigham Young University, studying psychology. If you're interested in this article and would like to contact the writer, please email Andrew Wilde.
Sunday, 25 September 2011
2006 NFL Draft: The Reggie Bush Sweepstakes
While it's still quite a few months before the NFL Draft, with the regular season winding down, it's a good time as any to take a glance at the teams who are "competing' for the league's worst record and the right to draft the lone "can't miss" college player, USC running back/receiver/kick return specialist Reggie Bush.
If you weren't convinced of this kid's potential at the beginning of the college football year, after watching him blow by defenses in 2004, after watching his last two games against Fresno State and UCLA, you have to be convinced now, right??
Current favorite: The Houston Texans
They'll be a few changes here, especially in the coaching department, as Dom Capers and his staff will either be shown the door at the end of the season, or sooner. David Carr was supposed to develop into the franchise QB by now, but we really don't know how good he is because of the lack of talent around him. The Texans management still believe he has potential, so they won't be drafting his replacement in 2006.
Bush would give the team at least a watch-able player, something they don't have at the moment. Not sure about you, but Domanick Davis doesn't exactly get the juices flowing.
The San Francisco 49ers
This may be the best scenario for the the San Diego native, since the hometown Chargers won't pick til late in the 1st round. Also, he and last year's #1 pick Alex Smith were teammates at Helix High. near San Diego.
The 49ers were once a proud organization, and with a underrated coach like Mike Nolan at the helm, all he needs are a few difference-makers, which Bush definitely is. Interesting enough, the Niners face the Texans in week 17, possibly with the USC star as the prize for the loser.
I knew Direct TV offered Sunday Ticket for some reason.
New York Jets
With the team having so much uncertainty about thir current quarterback situation, namely the health of Chad Pennington, Matt Leinart may be the more helpful choice. The Jets still have Curtis Martin in the backfield, and he can still run despite his age by evidenced by his rushing title in 2004.
And with Eli Manning starring for the cross-town Giants, the Jets would also love to have a marquee signal-caller. But could they really pass on Bush??
Green Bay Packers
Brett Favre probably won't allow the Pack to finish with the league's worst record, especially with the Lions and Ravens remaining on the schedule. Who even knows yet if he'll be back next year, as it's pretty much assured that head coach Mike Sherman is a goner.
And the team certainly won't draft another QB, since Aaron Rodgers is the future, I guess? If Favre returns for another year or two, he may never see the field.
The health of Ahman Green is also an issue, so Bush would be the perfect fit for GB. He'd also give Favre a dump-off guy, so hopefully he won't continue to throw into coverage. But old habits are hard to break, especially 14 year old habits.
John Onan (ego74) is a sports writer and handicapper. He runs Ego Sports Consulting, where he offers winning sports picks for a very reasonable price.
His website is http://ego42420.tripod.com and he can be reached at nay7201@mail.com
Saturday, 24 September 2011
Nate Kaeding Tribute: The Best & Worst
Thursday, 22 September 2011
NFL PLayoffs Cardinals vs. Saints Highlights
Monday, 19 September 2011
Field Goal Punts in Youth Football
Field Goal Punts?
Did you know that a field goal attempt is treated just like a punt under both Federation and NCAA High School Rules? If the ball goes out of bounds or is downed by the punting team, the opponent takes the ball over at that point. There are a handful of High Schools, including Dr. John Wards Union, North Carolina team that Field Goal kicks on every fourth down, no matter if he is on his own 20 or the opponents 45 yard line.
Many coaches feel their field goal kicker, when kicking for direction is much more accurate than a punter. Dr Ward prefers to have his field goal kickers kick out of bounds every play on their "field goal punts". His teams are usually less athletic and low in numbers, so he feels this saves them some wear and tear while keeping the ball away from the other teams playmakers. He also feels that he doesn't have to worry about a punter having a kick go off the side of his foot, that his field goal kickers are much less apt to "shank" kicks. Dr Ward has an incredible record at the High School level, leading dramatic turnarounds at a number of downtrodden High Schools. When he does something out of the norm, I for one listen.
In youth football this poses an even more interesting scenario:
Many youth football leagues have special rules of extra points and field goals. In some youth football leagues, including the one my personal teams are in now, do not allow the defense to rush on field goal attempts or point after kicks. We also have an "automatic" punt of 35 yards for the age 7-9 kids, with the exemption that you can not pin your opponent inside his own 20 yard line when accepting the automatic punt.
In 2005 we had a pretty good kicker that made about 65% of his extra point kicks. He was fairly accurate but had a bit of a problem with getting enough height on each kick. In one game we faced a 4th and 5, at the opponents 40 yard line. In most cases I would probably run a "no play" football play and get the other team to jump the snap to get my 5 free yards and a first down. We also have lots of 5 yard football plays in the playbook, but we decided to kick a "field goal". The opponent couldn't figure out what we were doing from the 40, they were completely confused, as a 40 yard field goal in youth football is absurd. But had we gone with the automatic punt, the ball by rule can not be placed inside the 20, so the net gain would have been just 20 yards. My "field goal" kicker kicked the ball about 25 yards from the line of scrimmage in the air and it rolled another 10 yards to just inside the 5 yard line. Since the other team did not have a return man back, (fake field goals are not allowed) we just downed the ball and they took over on the 5 yard line.
If you are past the midpoint of your youth football season and your kids have the basics down, maybe it's time to experiment with some special teams nuances. For us that means a trick kick off return and an additional onside kick to go along with our "field goal" punt. Doing things like this may help you keep the kids interested as their attention spans often start to wane midseason. It may also help you gain a competitive advantage and have some fun.
Dave Cisar-
Dave has a passion for developing youth coaches so they can in turn develop teams that are competitive and well organized. His teams have won over 97% of their games in 5 different leagues.
Clips of his 2006 team in action:2006 Season Clips [http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-699579089183056593]
These are some clips of his 2003, 2004 and 2005 teams: 2003,2004 and 2005 Clips [http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-6149710540153923624]
For 150 free youth football practice tips: Football Plays Copyright 2007 Cisar Management and winningyouthfootball.com republishing this article are parts of it without including this paragraph is copyright infringement
Sunday, 18 September 2011
Hot Baseball And Football Rookie Cards
If you are looking forward to becoming a serious collector of football and baseball sports cards, you need to follow every game carefully so you know which player is a hot football rookie or hot baseball rookie. This article will explain all you need to know about rookie sports cards collection.
Most of us are addicted to some sport or the other and follow it closely. Whether it is football, baseball or basketball, every sport has its share fan following. Collecting sports cards are another fad pursued by fans all over. When you think 'hot baseball rookie', several names pop in your mind, such as Alex Rodriguez, Babe Ruth and Evan Longoria.. Minnesota Vikings' Percy Harvin and Tennessee Titans' Chris Johnson. These are few of the hot football rookie cards that are in demand these days.
NFL players are hot favorites among sports card collectors. By watching the NFL matches closely and following the players keenly, you would know what rookie-cards are in demand based on which you can shop for those cards. Some leading sports websites also provide statistics on players who are currently leading in the season, their records so far and the best teams in case you are interested in collecting team cards as well. Hot baseball rookie cards are normally introduced before or during the player's initial season in the Big Leagues. The value of such a card change as the season progress based on the player's performance. The better the player plays, the hotter his card would become.
A hot baseball or football rookie card usually bears the photo of the player and statistics relating to his career. If it is the first ever appearance of a particular player on a card, it would carry a lot of significance for collectors. These cards are mostly traded among collectors. At times, a global licensed manufacturer of cards who has a standing in the market may also issue a hot baseball rookie. In such cases, one player may have different cards brought out by various manufacturers. Special editions of the best NFL players bring out a hot football rookie card every year. These cards are usually highly priced as they are in perpetual demand.
Be it a hot baseball rookie card or hot football rookie card, these cards give tremendous trading and investment opportunities. Their value goes up over the years. Some rare cards are highly valued because collectors are constantly looking for such scarce collectibles to add to their list of prized processions. Rare and old cards fetch more when traded.
hot baseball rookie and hot football rookie cards are available online for sale at local stores also. If you are looking for some rare collections, then a good idea would be to become a part of online groups that deal in old, rare cards. Online groups are great sources to find information on which player is a hot baseball rookie or a hot football rookie if you are planning on collecting rookie cards.
Saturday, 17 September 2011
Madden Mondays Featuring Madden NFL 12 - Kansas City Chiefs
Thursday, 15 September 2011
Coaching Middle School Football - Use These 4 Handy Tips
Angle tackling
It is a great idea to practice angle tackles with your defense because not all tackles are made with the opponent right in front of you. Set up a simple drill with two players, on as the offense with the ball running in a straight line, the other as the defender running towards him at some angle. As the defender he will need to adjust his body to cover the shortest distance towards the ball carrier, and make the stop by placing his foot squarely in front, and remembers for safety to put his head in front of the ball carrier. The defender follows through with the tackle by straightening his knees in a lunging type motion, wrapping his arms around the ball carrier to pull him down to the ground or push him off sides.
The importance of learning the Playbook
Practicing the plays is fun, and also very important. When you master your part of the play it will strengthen your team and yourself. Because football plays can be intricate, it is important that you understand and follow the coach's instructions. As you start to practice the play make sure to slow it down, there is no sense in practicing errors. As always, when learning a new play don't hesitate to ask for individual help to master the techniques needed. After practice is over visualize the play in your mind. Go over it again and again, and you will find that your mind will help you learn the plays even when you sleep.
Learning the Basics of Catching a Low Football Pass
This means that quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, etc have gone through the motions several times and know how to react to situations on the field. One situation that most offensive players will face is the low catch. One not so perfect scenario is a low passed catch. First keep the pinkies together down low to make a shovel. This ensures that the ball will not slip through your fingers. Second, keep low to the ground as a reference your knees should be level with your elbows, and if this means that you are down on all fours better a complete and no extra yards than an incomplete pass. Once you have the football in your hands scoop it up and tuck it away. Use your hands and not your body. Keep your eyes right on the ball. Catch it first and then worry about running it.
Prevent fumbles with strong techniques
One of the fundamental aspects of running with a football is ball security. Nothing is worse for your offensive team then turning it over carelessly to the other team in a fumble. Basic ball security can be broken down into four steps. First grab the football with your carrying hand with the tips of the football being covered with your fingers. The second point is your forearm wrapped around the ball and shielding it from the defense. The third point is securing the other point of the football with your bicep making sure that it is right up against it. Fourth, pull the football up and tight against your ribcage closing the gap on the football from all four sides. Run a couple of drills were the ball carrier runs through a pack of defenders to practice. As your ball carrying continues to improve you will insure less turnovers and greater success on the field.
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Wednesday, 14 September 2011
2009-2010 New York Jets Postseason Tribute
Tuesday, 13 September 2011
2010 Prestige Football NFL Box Break Mike's Autographs
Monday, 12 September 2011
Pre-Release Breakdown ft. Patriots, Dolphins, Colts, Saints, Vikings, Browns (Madden NFL 11) Sports
Saturday, 10 September 2011
FootballCardsOnly's 2010 Sp Authentic Football 2 Box Break
Friday, 9 September 2011
Without Vick Will the Eagles Season Remain Flightless?
It looks highly likely that as soon as the lockout is lifted, (if it is lifted) a move might be imminent for the Eagles Kevin Kolb in the free agency market.
Kolb has already made it clear he wants to be a starter in the NFL and judging by Vick's phenomenal season in 2010 it doesn't seem likely he will feature in the Eagles plans any time soon.
Kolb has already been linked with many teams in desperate need of a QB, the latest being the Cleveland Browns. This move seems unrealistic however considering the Browns already have Colt McCoy in his second season with the offence and the last thing Kolb needs is a fight for starting position with a player he might not be able to better.
No matter where Kolb ends up I fear it could leave the Eagles looking very bare in the quarterback department.
Starting quarterback Michael Vick returned to the NFL emphatically last season, producing clutch touchdowns and key downs when required. Many question whether he can produce the same performances that he did for the upcoming 2011 season however.
In 2002, for the first time Vick started every game with the Falcons. He threw for just under 3,000 yards, 16 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. This season proved to be the most impressive and he never bettered this performance during his time at the Falcons. Interceptions and fumbles became more apparent, and his quarterback rating dropped. So will we see a similar outcome again at the Eagles?
Admittedly Vick had his most positive season to date last season with the Eagles, posting his first quarterback rating average above 100, but did he produce this because he had a point to prove?
Defences will be more weary of his abilities next season as well. The Eagles thrived on their big game changing abilities in 2010 which I doubt will be so accessible again.
Vick showed his toughness and ability to get the job done when required, but his physical and stubborn method of obtaining yards could see him get into trouble. It was clear he was a huge target for many pass rushers and with Kolb out of the picture, and Vick ailing, it begs the question of whether Eagles hopes of the playoffs will greatly diminish in this scenario.
Currently without Kolb or Vick the leadership responsibility could fall to Mike Kafka. Kafka, 23, was the fifth QB selected in the 2010 draft behind Sam Bradford, Tim Tebow, Jimmy Clausen and Colt McCoy. He is quick, able to run like Vick but still has a lot to learn.
Kafka is yet to feature in his first NFL game, having only played in the four preseason matches of 2010. In those four matches Kafka threw three picks and one touchdown but it was all very valuable experience for the youngster.
Kafka still obviously has weaknesses at present in his strength and accuracy so will he be able to cope with the pressure in the event of a Vick injury, or will Andy Reid be prepared to pick up a replacement in the free agency?
Thursday, 8 September 2011
2 & Some Change - 4/19/11 (NFL Lockout ft. New York Jets) Sports
Tuesday, 6 September 2011
NFL Playoff Highlights Of The Year 2011 (NFLImagery)
Monday, 5 September 2011
GYPSY NFL TODAY Divisional Playoffs Part ONE
Sunday, 4 September 2011
Dirk Nowitzki - It's My Time Finals Mix games 1-3 2010-2011 FULL HD [MUST WATCH-NBA]
Friday, 2 September 2011
2011 Fantasy Baseball First Base Rankings
The auction dollar values below are based on projections for a 5X5 12 team mixed rotisserie league. This isn't a guess of how much players will go for, but rather our idea of how much your budget they'll be worth for the 2011 season taking into account the likelihood of missed games due to injuries, platoon situations, or Charlie Sheen parties. The values take into account position scarcity so each player is listed at the position he is most valuable at.
First Base "It ain't like that. See, the king stay the king, a'ight?" -D'Angelo Barksdale
1) Albert Pujols $43
Phil Hildreth: Pujols has been the king since the day he stepped into the batter's box in St. Louis and, oh by the way, he is playing for the right to make the kind of money that gets you hand fed popcorn at the super bowl on television. Are you concerned at all about contract distractions?
Herman Obando: Nope. I don't see any slowing down this year. His walk rate and strikeout rate were actually both headed the wrong direction last year, but I don't see that as a trend. He's been around for so long that we tend to forget that he just turned 31 and he has plenty of prime years ahead. He has been the model of consistency and there is no other legitimate contender for the first pick right?
PH: Maybe there is an argument to be made for Hanley Rameirez if the rumors about him wanting to steal 50 bases again are true, but I'm not going to make that argument. The list of players that will hit 40 HRs and hit.330 is just too short. In fact Pujols is the entire list.
2) Miguel Cabrera $35
HO: Here is where some concern comes in. At first glance Cabrera is a younger Pujols, but what do we make about the persistent alcohol problems? You can't say for sure that it's affected his play yet but we may be talking about a suspension if there is more legal trouble.
PH: Well this isn't the NFL and so far Cabrera has gotten off without even a wrist slap. I suspect that this isn't a new problem so he has probably been putting up numbers his whole career hung over anyways. Baseball-wise the Tigers really improved their lineup with Victor Martinez hitting behind Cabrera as opposed to the cast of characters that lead to Cabrera's career high in intentional walks last year. My advice is to talk up the drinking problems and then see if you can snag him for the discount.
3) Joey Votto $29
4) Ryan Howard. $28
5) Mark Teixeira $27
6) Prince Fielder $25
HO: A lot of people feel the urge to put Votto up with the top two at this position, but I can't quite out him there yet. But really, his short track record is the only factor holding him down at this point. The same was said about Pujols and Cabrera and they were a pleasure to own early in their career. To take that chance you'll probably have to overpay though. On the flip side, Howard needs to hit 40 HRs to justify staying in this group. Even looking past the fact that he missed almost a month last year with an ankle injury, his power numbers were unmistakably down and he doesn't have anything else to offer.
PH: I think Howard can deliver on his price here. He'll never be a top tier guy because he won't hit for average but 40 HRs is a good target for home and I expect the Phillies to rebound from their offensive funk of last year. Prince Fielder is a value alert that should be circled every draft sheet. He's a little under the radar playing in Milwaukee so he can probably be had for the cheapest price in this group.
HO: I'm not interested in Fielder at all this year. To me he is Ryan Howard on an inferior team. If you managed to be in a league without a diehard Yankees fan, Teixiera is a great target. The guy simply had a bad year and he has too much talent to repeat that performance in 2011. Simply put, Teixera has a best case scenario of hitting.320, while the upside of Howard and Fielder is still a fair sniff under.300.
7) Kevin Youkilis $21
8) Adrian Gonzalez $19
9) David Ortiz $18
HO: The Red Sox tier. The fact that these guys will hit 3-4-5 in the same lineup increases all of their values. Youkilis gets an extra bump because he's going to get 3B eligibility pretty quickly if he doesn't start the season with it. Gonzalez is going to be over-hyped because of the new ballpark/better team but maybe we should slow down a bit and remember he has only hit.300 once in his career so far. Oh yeah and there is that other thing about him coming off of shoulder surgery. The recipe of a delayed spring training after an injury in a new city has slow April written all over it.
PH: While you're not likely to get a discount on any Boston player this year, David Ortiz might be the closest thing to a good deal. He will benefit the most from the new signings and he clearly won't have the pressure of being the man anymore. He secretly pulled out a pretty decent season last year despite basically punting the entire month if April again. Be sure to note that Ortiz has no eligibility at 1B in most leagues and that he probably won't acquire it this year. We just put him here because otherwise there would be a DH list for just Ortiz and the ghost of Jim Thome.
10) Adam Dunn $16
11) Justin Morneau $15
12) Kendry Morales $13
13) Paul Konerko $13
HO: I've seen lots of praise for Adam Dunn this year, mostly because of the change in home ball parks. The change from Washington to the launching pad that is New Comisky is especially beneficial for the left-handed Dunn. Its kind of shocking to see Morneau all the way down here. The main problem is health of course but he was putting up monster numbers when he was playing, so he could be a good candidate to over perform this year. Konerko somehow had the best season of his career last year at the age of 34. It's likely that Konerko's average returns to his career range around.280 in 2011.
PH: I'm one of those singing Dunn's praise this year. Drafting well requires locking up sure things and Dunn is a known quantity. If you draft him you know that your average will suffer but that's the easiest batting category to make up late in the year. Why? Because the leader can drop just as quickly as your team moves up. I also like Morneau too. The backlash based on last year's injury has gone way too far. I think he still is an elite guy and the news out of Twins camp is that he is on track to be a full time player at least to start.
14) Carlos Lee $11
15) Billy Butler $11
16) Adam Lind $10
17) Garrett Jones $9
18) Gabby Sanchez $9
19) Derrek Lee $9
20) Ike Davis $8
HO: In this range you should be looking for potential for a breakout season rather than just a stable back up. The opinions on Adam Lind are going to vary wildly this year. Last year was bad, no question, if you are high on him its totally based on faith. The Royals seem to think that Billy Butler is about to take the next step so they locked him up for four years despite having a bunch of corner infield prospects on the way. I think all the young players in this group have an excited upside, just stay away from Lee and Lee. By the way, I have no idea why the Orioles think Derrek Lee is the answer out of the AL East basement.
PH: I think Carlos Lee is overlooked and he probably has a better shot at having a bounce back year than Lind. Carlos has a long track record of hitting.300 with 25 HRs and 100 RBIs, while Lind only has one year of high production. I also think you're too close to the Derrek Lee situation to be objective. The guy is only two years away from 35 homers. The Orioles aren't really building for the future anymore but they are going to be fun to watch with that lineup. As far as the young guys go, I'm not sure why Gabby Sanchez is up here, but I think Ike Davis has some power that he'll show a bit more of this year.
HO: The Orioles make no sense. They seem to have decided that beating the Blue Jays is the ultimate goal to shoot for. But they haven't shown the ability to build a young team either so they might as well go for it.
21) Lance Berkman $6
22) Freddie Freeman $6
23) James Loney $6
24) Luke Scott $6
25) Adam LaRouche $5
26) Carlos Pena $5
PH: Freddie Freeman is the new Jason Heyward; at least that's what the hype machine says and I'm buying it for now. I'd hope that he would work his way up to a nicer lineup spot than the 7 hole that I've seen him projected at. The Braves managed to score a lot of runs last year and the offense should be better with Dan Uggla and the aforementioned Heyward with a year's experience. I'm also looking at Berkman as an over perform candidate. I'm just doing some sloppy math here but if Pujols and Holiday both have an OBP over.400 then Berkman will almost always come to bat with runners on base.
OH: Luke Scott has been an interesting player to watch but the Orioles seem intent on crowding him out by bringing in even older players who can only play 1B or DH. Where is the love for Carlos Pena? Can you imagine a world where a player hits below.200 and then get $10 million to start for the Cubs the next season? I actually like the Cubs move as a decent buy low investment but I don't think it works for fantasy. If you find yourself desperate for HRs you might be tempted but those HRs are not going to be supported with Rs or RsBI so he really is a one category player (yes I said RsBI).
27) Matt LaPorta $3
28) Kila Ka'aihue $3
29) Aubrey Huff $2
30) Daric Barton $1
PH: I don't think I'd take any of these guys because there's not much going on. If I had a dollar to throw around here I'd think about Brett Wallace or Mitch Moreland. Those are both young guys that have everyday jobs so there is a chance that they could stand out.
OH: Why are you always bashing our rankings? The overwhelming chances are Wallace and Moreland are going to be waiver wire level players. Of course anything can happen, but it usually doesn't. When you are drafting here you probably only need a temporary fill in anyway. Both Huff or Ka'aihue are capable of going on a tear for 2 weeks that would make you happy to have themin your lineup...for those two weeks at least.
PH: That's a good point. The rankings are obviously based on percentages of likeliness but I'm always drawn to the long shot with potential.
At Fantasy Baseball U, we teach a specific fantasy baseball strategy. You can go elsewhere to get stat projections or player rankings, that is just noise. As you make your way through the ciriculum you'll see that we teach you how to ignore the noise and use it to your benefit at the same time. While others are compiling lists of the best available players, you will be crafting a team with the goal of winning categories.
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